GBP/USD. Brexit shadow hangs over Britain

The pound strengthened yesterday by more than a hundred points, which was due to several factors. Thus, the index of business activity in the UK construction sector decreased from 46.0 to 45.9, which was welcomed by the market, as the expected reduction to 43.8. But US statistics was not so joyful. Of course, personal spending rose by 0.4%, increasing inflation expectations, however, is not the first month running costs are rising faster than revenues. Personal incomes themselves rose 0.2%, slightly worse than expected. Moreover, if the trend continues, it could…

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3 reasons why the GBP may fall even lower – Deutsche Bank

“1. Purchasing power parity, which evaluates the exchange rate equivalent to the price of “Big Mac”, between the two countries. Britain is experiencing a shock, which suggests that the GBP will reach the extreme historical undervaluation. 2. An alternative metric – a fundamental effective exchange rate. It estimates the rate needed to restore the country’s current account deficit to equilibrium, which we define as 20-year historical average, or in absolute annual terms, around 40,000,000,000 GBP, or 2.5% of GDP. 3. The main value of the assets. What exchange rate will…

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Something strange is happening in the closing market time

The stock market bounced after the unexpected decision of Britain to leave the EU. Does this mean that investors are willing to take risks again? Hardly. Strong┬átraders risk in the day, but avoid risks overnight. Credit Suiss drew attention to the daily trading volume on the closing market . On average, the volume increased from 8.4% to 9.8% over the last 2 years, which means that traders cut positions before the market closes. There has been a lot of changes overnight The stock market is driven by macroeconomic events that…

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The British Pound continues to suffer after Brexit

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The British pound fell to a new 31-year of minimum on Wednesday, amid fears of a political vacuum and exit of the country from the EU. The currency slipped to $ 1.2796, the lowest level since 1985, after closing at $ 1.2960 on Tuesday. Analysts are concerned that political uncertainty will have an impact on capital inflows and force companies to delay investment, pushing the economy into recession. The Bank of England has taken preventive measures to support the economy and stimulate lending by loosening capital requirements for banks. “As…

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The Bank of England will cut interest rates to zero – TDS

Analysts TDS believe that after the results of the referendum in the UK the Bank of England will cut interest rates to zero: “We expect that the UK will enter a short and shallow recession like as increased uncertainty from the victory in the referendum on the exit from the EU will have an impact on the demand for both households and firms. While the exchange rate will help to neutralize part by weakening exports, this gain will be limited. Inflation will rise to above 3% y / y by…

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